tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post4215079212860698129..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: NY-20: Does a Tie Mean the Nation is Brutally Divided?Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-90769925343739876662009-04-06T20:37:00.000-04:002009-04-06T20:37:00.000-04:00Tedisco, 76,914 to 76,817.Tedisco, 76,914 to 76,817.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-12340167218111732492009-04-04T11:25:00.000-04:002009-04-04T11:25:00.000-04:00I don't know. The NYS board of elections still sho...I don't know. The NYS board of elections <A HREF="http://www.elections.state.ny.us/NYSBOE/20thCDSpecialUnofficialResults.pdf" REL="nofollow">still shows a tie</A> and aside from a couple of left-leaning sites — and I'm sure they've done their factchecking — I've only seen one other site corroborate the 198-vote Murphy lead. Perhaps because they know that the 198-vote lead will evaporate, but that hasn't stopped other media from reporting other changes. Perhaps they can't get verification of the 198. And perhaps it's because a tie is a better story.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-55278360377317307612009-04-03T21:17:00.000-04:002009-04-03T21:17:00.000-04:00I actually haven't. I've been swamped since Tuesd...I actually haven't. I've been swamped since Tuesday and haven't been able to follow this as much as I would have liked.<BR/><BR/>Very interesting. Too bad the window of time that it was tied was so small.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-36185306831839226862009-04-03T17:28:00.000-04:002009-04-03T17:28:00.000-04:00I'm sure you've been following this, but I couldn'...I'm sure you've been following this, but I couldn't resist posting because your title became literally true for a little while. Apparently <A HREF="http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/04/murphy-picks-up-198-votes-as-county-fixes-errors.php" REL="nofollow"> it was temporarily tied, though TPM is now claiming a 198 vote lead for Murphy.</A>Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-65330432303716109442009-04-01T17:18:00.000-04:002009-04-01T17:18:00.000-04:00Yes, I knew it was in jest.And apparently some rec...Yes, I knew it was in jest.<BR/><BR/>And apparently some recanvassing has brought it down to <A HREF="http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2009/by_county/NY_US_House_0331.html?SITE=NYSAR&SECTION=POLITICS" REL="nofollow">a 25 vote margin.</A><BR/><BR/>Elections are fun, indeed.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-28427859611991403062009-04-01T12:43:00.000-04:002009-04-01T12:43:00.000-04:00Well, when you account for the number of votes cas...Well, when you account for the number of votes cast in both of those cases (NY-20, AK-7), we're talking about the same thing. Both votes were within less than .05%, which while technically not a tie, is a tie. <BR/><BR/>Obviously, this post was in jest; poking fun at the pre-election over-extrapolation of the potential results in this race. The media wanted one of the two narratives I mentioned, but we got something else entirely. All of that hyping and neither side can really claim a victory.<BR/><BR/>Of course, as Nate mentioned, this was basically a status quo decision and while neither side can really claim victory in this race, the status quo favors the Democrats.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-16969196984990870982009-04-01T12:22:00.000-04:002009-04-01T12:22:00.000-04:00Why is everyone talking about ties? Not just you, ...Why is everyone talking about ties? Not just you, but Andrew Gelman and Nate Silver threw out that word. It's not like it's a three-vote margin. We've seen so many close elections that 65 votes seems like a landslide.<BR/><BR/>If any election deserved that appellation, it's the 7th House District in Alaska. On election day, Republican Mike Kelly led Democrat Karl Kassel 5000 votes to 4999. A recount left Kelly ahead by <A HREF="http://www.elections.alaska.gov/08general/data/hd7results.htm" REL="nofollow">a decisive 5024-5020 margin.</A><BR/><BR/>I will never understand people who are not completely apathetic not voting.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.com