tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post7046152945210934191..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: The Links for 5/19/08: Kentucky, Oregon, Electoral College Ties and MoreJosh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-43914740608540623762008-05-19T16:22:00.000-04:002008-05-19T16:22:00.000-04:00Benjamin,It does seem that the results of these ca...Benjamin,<BR/>It does seem that the results of these caucuses will largely follow what we've witnessed on the precinct level. In the media, that translates to no story...sadly. <BR/><BR/>But I'm obviously not interested the story. I'm more interested in determining whether there is any systematic shift one way or the other from the first to the last step of the process. In most years when one candidate becomes inevitable early there is momentum toward that candidate. <BR/><BR/>2008 isn't most years though. So the question becomes, do we see any movement to or from the winner of the original step (no matter how small)? So far we've seen more movement toward Obama (in Texas and Nevada) which fits in more with the conventional wisdom.<BR/><BR/>Thanks for your comment and thanks for reading.Josh Putnamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-45346567702122916342008-05-19T15:39:00.000-04:002008-05-19T15:39:00.000-04:00Thank you for posting. I agree that it is complet...Thank you for posting. I agree that it is completely stupid the way there is a total vacuum for information from the 9 congressional district caucuses in Washington, both in the local media and in the blogosphere. it does, however, look rather like the breakdown for national delegates is going to be the 52/26 split which was predicted based on precinct caucus results. I'll be keeping an eye here to see if you find any more sources/news =)Benjamin Adyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03325520894212279303noreply@blogger.com