tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post7604856193440077054..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: Romney's Pushing for an Earlier Utah Primary?Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-12913561415949801342011-06-28T22:22:02.184-04:002011-06-28T22:22:02.184-04:00Good points.
McCain chose to go after the winner-...Good points.<br /><br />McCain chose to go after the winner-take-all states on Super Tuesday and Romney took advantage of an early money advantage in those Super Tuesday caucus states. <br /><br />Huckabee did win the Kansas caucuses (after Iowa), but on the whole, you're right, he did not have the requisite organization.<br /><br />Connecticut and Delaware are closed and winner-take-all contests. New York is also closed but newly proportional. Pennsylvania is a closed, loophole primary and Rhode Island is semi-open and proportional. Rules will matter, but let's be careful about drawing comparisons between low turnout midterm primaries and higher turnout presidential primaries (especially if the latter is competitive). Romney won't necessarily have an advantage just because those are blue states, but more so because there are, on the whole, more moderate registered Republicans there (as opposed to, say, the South).<br /><br />But yes, that is an excellent point. Rules matter. Period.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-53297056296313279552011-06-28T14:28:49.558-04:002011-06-28T14:28:49.558-04:00In a lot of these caucus states, Romney ran to the...In a lot of these caucus states, Romney ran to the right of McCain.<br />In 2012, other candidates will likely run to Romney's right. Also Romney had no competition as McCain chose not to contest these states and Huckabee never got organized enough.<br /><br />Also Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island<br />may not be as friendly. In Delaware, O'Donnell upset Castle and the turnout was higher than the 2008 presidential primary. Rhode Island has been proportional, and NY has moved away from a wta to proportional at the CD level.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com