tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post8699459501581428984..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: Obama is the Unofficial Winner of North CarolinaJosh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-70578184543014580762008-11-07T09:49:00.000-05:002008-11-07T09:49:00.000-05:00I haven't forgotten it Rob. But I do probably need...I haven't forgotten it Rob. But I do probably need to post something about that. <BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/obama-likely-to-win-omaha-electoral.html" REL="nofollow">Here's that link</A> from Rob by the way.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-46230057805558259672008-11-07T06:59:00.000-05:002008-11-07T06:59:00.000-05:00Josh,Don't forget Nebraska!http://www.fivethirtyei...Josh,<BR/><BR/>Don't forget Nebraska!<BR/><BR/>http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/obama-likely-to-win-omaha-electoral.htmlRoberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-44254241435067661022008-11-06T12:04:00.000-05:002008-11-06T12:04:00.000-05:00Scott,Glad you are back on. I want to compliment y...Scott,<BR/><BR/>Glad you are back on. I want to compliment you on your perception of the strength of the Obama campaign when I started to question it at times. You were right and I was nervous.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-20891726879883859522008-11-06T08:53:00.000-05:002008-11-06T08:53:00.000-05:00Speaking of Sarah Lawrence (OK, so you weren't, bu...Speaking of Sarah Lawrence (OK, so you weren't, but you did mention my name), it looks like we'll have an alum as chief of staff.<BR/><BR/>Cool.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14690577323454357276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-40275528786329223052008-11-05T22:23:00.001-05:002008-11-05T22:23:00.001-05:00Josh,I'll email it to you. It's a little amateuris...Josh,<BR/><BR/>I'll email it to you. It's a little amateurishly done (okay, a lot), but it's the best I could do.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-37132944555792405782008-11-05T22:22:00.000-05:002008-11-05T22:22:00.000-05:00Sounds good. I'll check back in the morning. I'll...Sounds good. I'll check back in the morning. I'll have a little something about the runoff here, but for now, I'm off to catch up on some sleep.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-88038655163308061852008-11-05T21:57:00.000-05:002008-11-05T21:57:00.000-05:00Josh,Thank you very much. I would like to thank Ro...Josh,<BR/><BR/>Thank you very much. I would like to thank Rob for advocating for me in this comments section. And my campaign manager SarahLawrenceScott, and ...<BR/><BR/>FHQ's model was as accurate as mine. Both had two states off - I was wrong on MO and IN, FHQ on NC and IN.<BR/><BR/>So I think you've earned a little prize too. What should it be?<BR/><BR/>Well, I think there is only one appropriate choice.<BR/><BR/>I'm working on it and will have it posted later tonight.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-33110620415882875112008-11-05T21:34:00.000-05:002008-11-05T21:34:00.000-05:00Here's that Crystal Ball link from Rob.And Jack sh...Here's that <A HREF="http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2008110604" REL="nofollow">Crystal Ball</A> link from Rob.<BR/><BR/>And Jack should be commended for his consistently solid predictions and educated guesswork during the course of the election here at FHQ. I think he has finally earned that pencil sharpener from <A HREF="http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2008/06/electoral-college-map-62508.html" REL="nofollow">way back when</A>.<BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://www.weirdomatic.com/wp-content/pictures/sharpener/1_pencil_sharpener.jpg" REL="nofollow">Congrats Jack</A>.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-11497544086150294562008-11-05T20:58:00.000-05:002008-11-05T20:58:00.000-05:00Oh, and thanks, Rob!Oh, and thanks, Rob!Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-84922921372712572562008-11-05T20:49:00.000-05:002008-11-05T20:49:00.000-05:00Josh,You forget Frank I. Osborne, Democratic mayor...Josh,<BR/><BR/>You forget <A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_I._Osborne" REL="nofollow">Frank I. Osborne</A>, Democratic mayor of Charlotte 1879-1880, who was the elected Attorney General of North Carolina from 1893-1897. Attorney General was an elected office in NC after 1868.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-54862887112659266132008-11-05T20:29:00.000-05:002008-11-05T20:29:00.000-05:00Josh,Give it to Jack. He makes a convincing case!Josh,<BR/><BR/>Give it to Jack. He makes a convincing case!Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-8290932986753552382008-11-05T20:21:00.000-05:002008-11-05T20:21:00.000-05:00Former Charlotte mayors running statewide in North...Former Charlotte mayors running statewide in North Carolina are like veterans at the presidential level. They just don't win. And it crosses party lines.<BR/><BR/>Harvey Gantt<BR/>Richard Vinroot<BR/>Pat McCrory<BR/><BR/>Well, Sue Myrick has held down the fighting 9th district for a while now. That one includes FHQ's hometown, Gastonia. But that isn't statewide.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-24742769163223900852008-11-05T19:52:00.000-05:002008-11-05T19:52:00.000-05:00Sabato's got nothing on me.Alright, he got the...Sabato's got nothing on me.<BR/><BR/>Alright, he got the governor's numbers right and I didn't — I thought McCrory would hold off Perdue, though I'm certainly not complaining.<BR/><BR/>Our House projections were about the same (though it appears he was slightly closer) and our Senate projections were the same.<BR/><BR/>But I have evidence that Sabato rigged a number of elections to make sure he would beat my predictions. Don Young and Michele Bachmann, thank Larry Sabato.<BR/><BR/>Besides, the man has a crystal ball. What am I supposed to do against that?Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-3909548759330060082008-11-05T19:28:00.000-05:002008-11-05T19:28:00.000-05:00Maybe Jack and Larry Sabato could share the pencil...Maybe Jack and Larry Sabato could share the pencil sharpener.<BR/><BR/>http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2008110604Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-70322771755226295022008-11-05T17:46:00.000-05:002008-11-05T17:46:00.000-05:00C'mon, what do I have to do? I've made so many cor...C'mon, what do I have to do? I've made so many correct predictions on this site. In fact, I sent out résumés to all the major networks. Fox News is interested.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-22944670290850049762008-11-05T17:33:00.000-05:002008-11-05T17:33:00.000-05:00You know, I was thinking about that pencil sharpen...You know, I was thinking about that pencil sharpener the other day. Missouri will hurt you, though. The committee of one will have to deliberate.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-52506148596222980422008-11-05T17:22:00.000-05:002008-11-05T17:22:00.000-05:00Didn't I say Obama would win 364 EVs?Of course, I ...Didn't I say Obama would win 364 EVs?<BR/><BR/>Of course, I thought it would come with Missouri and not Indiana. But my correct prediction should still count for something. Perhaps that pencil sharpener I never got?Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.com