2012 Electoral College Wrap Up, Part 2

FHQ will have much more on this later, but we wanted to get the final results through the lens of our map and the Electoral College Spectrum up before too much time passed.

The 2012 Electoral College Spectrum1
HI-4 (7)2	IL-20 (163)	IA-6 (243)	IN-11 (154)	KS-6 (59)
VT-3 (10)	ME-4 (167)	PA-20 (263)	SC-9 (143)	AL-9 (53)
RI-4 (14)	WA-12 (179)	CO-93 (272/275)	MS-6 (134)	KY-8 (44)
NY-29 (43)	OR-7 (186)	VA-13 (285/266)	AK-3 (128)	NE-5 (36)
MD-10 (53)	NM-5 (191)	OH-18 (303/253)	MT-3 (125)	AR-6 (31)
MA-11 (64)	MI-16 (207)	FL-29 (332/235)	TX-38 (122)	WV-5 (25)
CA-55 (119)	MN-10 (217)	NC-15 (347/206)	LA-8 (84)	ID-4 (20)
DE-3 (122)	WI-10 (227)	GA-16 (191)	SD-3 (76)	OK-7 (16)
CT-7 (129)	NV-6 (233)	MO-10 (175)	ND-3 (73)	WY-3 (9)
NJ-14 (143)	NH-4 (237)	AZ-11 (165)	TN-11 (70)	UT-6 (6)
1Follow the link for a detailed explanation on how to read the Electoral College Spectrum. 2The numbers in the parentheses refer to the number of electoral votes a candidate would have if he won all the states ranked prior to that state. If, for example, Romney had won all the states up to and including Colorado (all Obama's toss up states), he would have gained 275 electoral votes. Romney's numbers are only totaled through the states he would have needed in order to get to 270. In those cases, Obama's number is on the left and Romney's is on the right in italics. 3Colorado is the state where Obama crossed the 270 electoral vote threshold to win the presidential election. That line is referred to as the victory line.

Final FHQ projection.

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2012 Electoral College Wrap Up, Part 1

332-206

Invisible Primary, 2016

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Obama is the Unofficial Winner of North Carolina

Here's the story from the News and Observer. I'll have a map up in a while. The state won't become official until the provisional ballots are counted next month.

[Click Map to Enlarge]

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More on North Carolina: UPDATE

What's the Matter with North Carolina?

Voting in Athens, GA: A Small Pictorial

More on North Carolina: UPDATE

The News and Observer out of Raleigh is reporting that there are 18,000 ballots to be counted in McCain-leaning Rockingham County (in white below). McCain would have to get about 83% of those votes to tie or surpass Barack Obama and that would run above the proportion of votes has gotten in the county thus far. CNN has Rockingham County at 57%-42% in favor of McCain. If McCain gets 57% of those remaining 18,000 votes, he would only gain about 2000 votes on Obama and that won't close the gap nearly enough. Word out of Rockingham County is that they will have those counted by 5pm this evening. 30 minutes from now.

[Click Map to Enlarge]

So, it wasn't as dire as waiting a couple of days for provisional ballots to be sifted through.

...yet.

But we are getting closer to calling North Carolina.

UPDATE: There have been 26,000 new votes added to the tally at NBC and they have broken about half and half but slightly favor Obama (by 900 votes). And that obviously isn't cutting into that lead Obama has. NOTE: I have no idea if any of these 26,000 encompass any of the 18,000 Rockingham votes alluded to above.


Recent Posts:
What's the Matter with North Carolina?

Voting in Athens, GA: A Small Pictorial

Missouri to McCain

What's the Matter with North Carolina?

The Charlotte Observer is reporting today that the hold up in North Carolina is because of the counting of provisional ballots.

"With all precincts counted, Obama leads McCain by about 11,000 votes out of more than 4.2 million cast. But state Elections Director Gary Bartlett said Wednesday morning that a small number of provisional ballots must be counted in the coming days."

A couple of days?

[Click Map to Enlarge]

This is what happens when a typically reliable partisan state suddenly becomes competitive. He-e-e-e-y-y-y, what about Virginia or Indiana? Virginia wasn't that close yesterday and Indiana had a close contest dry run during the Democratic primaries. North Carolina? The Tar Heel state wasn't contested on the Republican side and Barack Obama won the state going away. The North Carolina Board of Election's first run under competitive circumstances was last night.


Recent Posts:
Voting in Athens, GA: A Small Pictorial

Missouri to McCain

Open Thread: The Morning After

Missouri to McCain

NBC is reporting that Missouri has gone for McCain. Let's color the Show-Me state in.

[Click Map to Enlarge]

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Open Thread: The Morning After

Election Night Liveblog and Open Thread

FHQ's Final Electoral College Map (11/4/08)