Tuesday, October 27, 2009

State of the Race: Virginia Governor (10/27/09)

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Another day brought another couple of polls in the Virginia governors race showing Bob McDonnell pulling away from Creigh Deeds. It was not the kind of day Deeds otherwise would have wanted considering that the president was coming in to campaign with the Democrat. The McDonnell campaign has to feel good knowing that even despite Obama's appearance in the Old Dominion, much of the talk surrounding the day's polls centered on comments like, "It basically seems like Democratic voters in Va. are giving up on this election." That's never a good sign coming from a pollster.

2009 Virginia Gubernatorial Race Polling
Margin of Error
Survey USA
Oct. 25-26, 2009
+/- 4.4%
502 likely voters
Public Policy Polling [pdf]
Oct. 23-26, 2009
+/- 3.6%
729 likely voters

Yet, such was the dichotomy of the day in Virginia. Bob McDonnell didn't gain that much in either the Survey USA poll or the Public Policy Polling survey, but Deeds didn't either. Well, in spite of the talk about landslides surrounding the Survey USA result, Deeds did actually fare better in this week's Survey USA poll versus last week's. But that's a small consolation to the Democrat. Meanwhile, in FHQ's averages, McDonnell has stretch his lead into the double digits; something that seemed to be on the verge of happening these last couple of weeks, but had yet to come to fruition.

With one week to go, that's pretty much all she wrote in Virginia. When candidates turn off the flow of money for buying ad time, it is a pretty good indication.

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Recent Posts:
Why the Democratic Change Commission's March 1 Mandate Will Be a Tough Sell Without a Bipartisan Primary Reform Plan

State of the Race: New Jersey Governor (10/26/09)

State of the Race: Virginia Governor (10/26/09)

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